Download Forecasting Methods for Horseracing by Peter May PDF

By Peter May

Computer-based forecasting tools aren't any longer constrained to the conventional statistical equipment. Knowledge-based ways, which utilise the information received from human specialists of their building, and computer studying equipment within which the pc learns from to be had examples with no major human intervention are actually ordinarily use as forecasting instruments. This e-book examines the applying of those how to the area of horseracing in nice Britain and abroad and gives a close step by step consultant to enforcing those tools. incorporated are directions at the use and improvement of rule-based structures for horseracing, an advent to constructing knowledge-based structures together with tools for dealing with inexact and unsure information, an outline of neural neyworks and a consultant to how those should be utilized to the horseracing challenge and several other examples illustrating the proposed equipment whole with review.

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Weight Carried Although the age of a horse appears to have a slight bearing on its probability of success, the amount of weight carried by horses in handicap races is a much stronger indicator. It is important to remember that the aim of artificial handicapping is to give each horse an equal chance of winning, and therefore in handicap races the wins to runs ratio for horses in different weight bands should be uniform. However, this is not the case. 5 which shows the strike rate for horses running in juvenile handicaps by weight carried.

8: Pascal’s Triangle In order to use Pascal’s Triangle to determine the number of combinations it is a simple matter of finding the correct row. In the previous example there were six selections, the correct row therefore is the sixth. This row has seven components: 1 6 15 20 15 6 1 The first number (always a one) can be ignored and the remaining numbers represent the number of singles, doubles etc. in six selections. Consequently, there are: 6 singles, 15 doubles, 20 trebles, 15 four-folds, 6 five-folds and 1 six-fold.

P. P. 12. e. 13 or more runners). P. P. 12) shows that the Tote return is nearly equal, or higher, than the starting price return for all categories. However, in similar fashion to the win analysis, the Tote place return is clearly better for the longer priced horses. This is due to the general level of under-pricing associated with these runners and the poor each 43 PETER MAY way fractions currently used by bookmakers. P. P. place return by starting price Spread Betting Though still in its infancy, spread betting has become a very popular means of betting in the last few years.

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